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Medicaid expansion under ACA is seen as permanent

 

This CNBC article and video suggests that Medicaid expansion under the Affordable Care Act has so many constituents now that it will  be very difficult to reverse, even in  states that are now run by Republicans.

As the article notes the new patients now covered by Medicaid expansion generally like it. And so do hospitals, which now don’t have to  cover so much uncompensated care

As CNBC notes: “A growing number of states have signed up for that expansion of the government-run program for poor people, or are discussing doing so. Hospitals are becoming accustomed to the money that comes with expansion, and a majority of new enrollees are saying they are happy with their coverage.

“The difficulty of getting rid of Medicaid expansion, which uses federal dollars to give health benefits to previously ineligible adults, was sharply underscored this fall by the election of ardent Obamacare foe Matt Bevin as governor of Kentucky.

“The Republican Bevin originally promised to repeal expansion of Medicaid in Kentucky, where about 400,000 have joined the Medicaid rolls since the Affordable Care Act was implemented. He since has backed away from that vow. Bevin most recently has talked about redesigning the state’s Medicaid program, but has not yet offered a plan.”

“I do think we’ve reached the tipping point,”  Diane Rowland, executive vice president of the Kaiser Family Foundation, told CNBC.  “It’s part of the fabric of our health-care system now.”

“I think there are still states that are strongly resistant to it, but I think the tide is beginning to sweep more states in,” she added.

 


Humana expected to quit ACA marketplaces

 

The Affordable Care Act has apparently been inhumane to Humana.

In the words of Bloomberg News: The huge insurer “probably won’t collect enough money to cover costs for some customers who bought individual plans {in an ACA exchange}, and will set aside what’s known as a premium deficiency reserve. The shortfall is for 2016 plans that comply with new rules under the Affordable Care Act.”

Ana Gupte, an analyst with Leerink Partners,  told clients that “We expect Humana will exit health insurance exchange marketplaces in 2017 in light of this data and focus on its Medicare Advantage book of business.”


Mergers/acquisitions expected to stay strong in 2016

bigfish


Physician convicted of fraud blames the ACA

 

Harry Persaud, M.D., convicted of putting patients through lucrative (for him)  invasive tests and heart surgery they didn’t need, blamed the Affordable Care Act.

He asserted that the Feds  targeted him to try to force doctors to cut down on procedures, thus saving money, which is one of the aims of the ACA.

 

 

 


Prepare for healthcare reform 1.1

 

Benjamin D. Sommers, M.D., a physician and healthcare economist, in a  New England Journal of Medicine piece headlined “Health Care Reform’s Unfinished Work — Remaining Barriers to Coverage and Access,” concludes:

“{T}he ACA is succeeding in expanding coverage and access, with promising indications for population health. But challenges remain; the fundamental political question is how — and whether — they’ll be addressed. Though some members of both political parties favor replacing the ACA entirely, that seems unlikely to happen. Liberals who believe a single-payer system is the easiest method of eliminating cracks in our patchwork coverage approach must face the political realities that derailed a single-payer effort in liberal Vermont and have made it so challenging to implement even a centrist national health care reform law. Many conservatives still advocate ‘repeal and replace,’ but the almost-certain backlash against taking coverage away from more than 15 million Americans makes it hard to imagine this rhetoric becoming reality….”

“What’s likely, then, is healthcare reform version 1.1, rather than version 2.0. We’ll probably see substantial debate over refining the ACA rather than replacing it, much as occurred after the enactment of Medicaid and Medicare in 1965. Perspectives on how to do so will vary; some policymakers will argue that the law isn’t generous enough, while others will insist that it’s already too costly and intrusive. Ultimately, there are likely to be only incremental changes….”


One co-op dying as another feels better

By JOHN DALEY, Colorado Public Radio and JEFF COHEN, WNPR

via Kaiser Health News

Thousands of Americans are again searching for health insurance after losing it for 2016. That’s because health cooperatives — large, low-cost insurers set up as part of  the Affordable Care Act — are folding in a dozen states.

The failure of Colorado’s co-op has hit Rick and Letha Heitman hard. They are customers of the Colorado HealthOP, which is closing up shop at the end of the year. The couple, who own a contracting business, say the co-op proved to be a life-saver when Rick was diagnosed with aggressive prostate cancer last spring.

“I owe them for taking care of me. They helped me at a time when I needed it a lot,” he says.

About 80,000 people are in the same boat as the Heitmans, on the hunt for new insurance plans on Colorado’s exchange. HealthOP’s CEO Julia Hutchins says the co-op got walloped by the equivalent of a fast-moving tornado after the federal government said it wouldn’t be paying co-ops millions in subsidies they had expected.

“We were really blindsided by that,” she says. “We felt like we’d done our part in helping serve individuals who really need insurance and now we’re the one left holding the bag.”

And, she insists the co-op was on track to be profitable. Colorado HealthOp is one of 23 nationally in 22 states that opened after the ACA was enacted. The startups were supposed to shake up the traditional marketplace by being member-owned and nonprofit, but it was tough to figure out how much to charge. They needed to estimate how much medical care their customers would use, and they had to do that without data from previous years and without the cushion of a reserve fund. Established insurers can use reserves and experience to recover if they underestimate premium prices in a given year.

 

Many co-op plans were priced low, and customers poured in. But these new customers had high health costs, so the co-ops had to start paying a lot of bills. The math didn’t add up. On top of that, they were counting on a variety of funding streams from the federal government, and not all of them materialized.

Linda Gorman, with the Independence Institute, a conservative-leaning Colorado think tank, says the new co-ops were in over their heads.

“You shouldn’t go into business counting on federal subsidies,” she says. “The notion that you should beat up on for-profit entities and then form these nonprofits and everything will be magically OK is unfortunate to begin with. We’ve wasted a lot of taxpayer money on that.”

But the HealthOP’s senior IT manager Helen Hadji, a Republican, blames conservatives in Congress for not authorizing the money needed to keep the cooperatives afloat.

“This is a federal failure,” she says. “This is all a political battle to dismantle Obamacare.”

Colorado’s co-op captured 40 percent of the individual market on the state’s exchange. Now as customers, like the Heitmans, hunt for new insurance, they are finding higher prices: They paid about $500 a month last year. Next year, it could be double or triple that.

“You know, that’s a big ‘owee!’” says Letha Heitman.

But it’s the price they’ll pay to keep Rick with the physicians who are treating his cancer.

In Connecticut, the opposite story is playing out. If Colorado saw an early surge in membership because of low prices, Connecticut’s co-op nearly priced itself out of the market in its first year. With rates much higher than its competitors, HealthyCT only got 3 percent of the state’s business under the Affordable Care Act.

“In that first year, the reason we had such low market share was that consumers — new to the industry, new to insurance — most of those individuals bought on price,” says Ken Lalime, who runs the co-op.

And, he says, starting it was hard.

“Nobody’s built a new insurance company in the state of Connecticut in 30 years,” he says. “There’s no book that you pull off the shelf and say, ‘Let’s go do this.’”

Lalime faced the same problem as insurers across the country: He didn’t know who his customers would be, he didn’t know whether they’d be sick or healthy, and he didn’t know how much to charge. It turns out he ended up charging too much.

But even though that meant relatively few signups in year one, the slow ramp-up actually helped. He didn’t have a huge number of claims to pay right out of the gate, and the ones he did pay didn’t break the bank.

“Hindsight, yes, that didn’t hurt us. To be able to take it slowly,” he says.

In year two, he had more competitive average premiums — and his company went from 3 percent market share to 18 percent. For 2016, HealthyCT and the state — after some back and forth — settled on a 7 percent premium hike for customers.

Paul Lombardo is an actuary for the state. He says that bouncing around is an indicator that setting premiums under the Affordable Care Act is still a bit of a gamble. That’s in part because there’s still no good data. So few people signed up with HealthyCT in the beginning that they didn’t have enough information to help set 2016 premiums.

“There wasn’t a lot of data to say, OK, we can use 2014 experience to project forward,” Lombardo says.

For now, at least, Lombardo says HealthyCT is holding its own.

“They’re in good standing,” he says. “The premium we think that we’re setting for 2016 — albeit a little bit higher than they wanted it to be on the revision — is appropriate.”

Enrollment for health insurance in the co-ops runs through Jan. 31 with just 11 of the original 23 co-ops still in business.

This story is part of a reporting partnership with NPR, Colorado Public Radio, WNPR and Kaiser Health News.


Public programs look better than insurance via ACA for kids

 

Medicaid got by implication a big plug with the results of a National Survey of Children’s Health report.

The study said that children in low-income households with private insurance  obtained through the Affordable Care Act (ACA) received fewer regular checkups and  had higher medical costs than children on public insurance plans — which mostly means Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP).

The report said:

Only 83 percent of children insured through the ACA’s qualified health plans had a preventive medical visit compared to  88 percent of those on Medicaid and 95 percent on CHIP.

Parents of children with private insurance also reported the highest “prevalence of out-of-pocket costs” No surprise there.

 

 

 

 

 

 


Calif. risk-corridor program looks good

 

Here’s happier news on risk-corridor results from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services.

As this HealthAffairs piece notes, “In many states, some insurers did not project premium rates at sufficient levels to account for the risk of the newly insured population. Thus, there were insufficient risk corridor ‘payables’ available from conservatively priced plans to cover all risk corridor ‘receivables’ for underpriced plans to compensate for risk corridor-eligible losses.

“However, this phenomena is highly state-specific. In contrast to most of the country, Covered California, California’s health insurance exchange, had much greater success enrolling a diverse population and did not have a market that allowed the continuation of low-risk, remaining ‘transitional’ plans once the ACA  {Affordable Care Act} was implemented. As a result, the health risk scores of enrollees for individual plans in the exchange have stabilized in the second year (regressed to the mean), with risk being more evenly distributed across all of the plans.”


Small-group insurance market expansion in play

The National Journal reports that Republicans might get a chance this fall  to overturn the Affordable Care Act’s expansion of the small-group insurance market — and  that President Obama might go along with the change.

A deadline looms:  The ACA mandate that states  widen the definition of their small-group markets from employers with 50 or fewer employees to 100 or fewer is supposed to start to take effect in some states on Jan. 1. But legislation, The National Journal says, “would end that requirement,  leaving the definition at the historical norm of 50 while letting states set it higher….”

Timothy Jost, a healthcare expert at Washington and Lee University, noted  to the magazine some potential problems if the change  were made. The magazine paraphrased him as saying that “While prices might go down for the 50-and-under businesses as their market grew, the 51-to-100 businesses would almost certainly see their prices go up. They would be moving from the more stable and typically less expensive large-group plans to the small-group setting. The small-group market is also subject to some Obamacare rules, such as covering certain essential health benefits, that the large-group market is not. Some estimates have projected that costs would actually increase for everybody.”

Still, “{o]f all the {ACA} ‘fix’ bills floating around the Capitol, the small-group provision might have the most working in its favor: It has bipartisan support, costs little to nothing to change, and even some Obamacare supporters say the law could function fine with the alteration,” the magazine reported.


Hospitals might be on hook for some Medicaid-expansion costs

 

Policymakers in Medicaid expansion states likely will try to extract some cash from hospitals starting in 2017 to help pay for the expansion. 2017 is when the federal government will no longer pay the full  bill for the coverage growth.
Higher-than-expected enrollment means that Medicaid expansion states will owe hundreds of millions  dollars more than they anticipated when they took advantage of the Affordable Care Act’s Medicaid expansion to adults earning up to 138 percent of the federal poverty level. So some states may try to get money from the hospitals to pay for the added expense.
Under the ACA, the Feds pick up the full cost for newly eligible adults through next year. After that, the match gradually drops to 90 percent by 2020.

Still, Medicaid expansion reduces state costs in other ways while boosting jobs and economies.

Modern Healthcare says one option is “to have hospitals contribute through the system of assessment fees already being collected by many states. Since the 1980s, provider assessments have generated billions of dollars to help states boost the matching funds they receive from the federal government. In 2015, 38 states had such levies in place, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation.”


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